In this Section:

	Background
	Project Overview
	Project Components:
	Seasonal Climate Outlooks
	Historical Water Supply Outlooks
	Ensemble Water Supply Outlooks
	Decision-Support Tools
	Status of Project
	References
	Related Links
	Contacts

Research and Products:
Forecast Evaluation

References

Franz, K., H. C. Hartmann, S. Sorooshian, and R. Bales, 2003. An evaluation of National Weather Service ensemble streamflow predictions for water supply forecasting in the Colorado River Basin. Journal of Hydrometeorology 4:1105-1118.

Hartmann, H.C. 2005. Use of climate information in water resources management. In: Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences, M.G. Anderson (Ed.), John Wiley Sons Ltd., West Sussex, UK, Chapter 202.

Hartmann, H. C., A. Bradley, and A. Hamlet, 2003. Advanced hydrologic prediction for improving water management. In: Lawford, R., Fort, D., Hartmann, H. C., and S. Eden (Eds.), Water: Science, Policy, and Management. Water Resources Monograph 16, American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp.285-307.

Hartmann, H. C., T. C. Pagano, S. Sorooshian, and R. Bales, 2002. Confidence builders: evaluating seasonal climate forecasts from user perspectives. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 83(5):683-698.

Hartmann, H. C., R. Bales, and S. Sorooshian, 2002. Weather, climate, and hydrologic forecasting for the U.S. Southwest: a survey. Climate Research 21:239-258.

Pagano, T. C., H. C. Hartmann, and S. Sorooshian, 2002. The role and usability of climate forecasts for water management in Arizona: a case study of the 1997-98 El Niño. Climate Research 21:259-269.

Pagano, T. C., H. C. Hartmann, and S. Sorooshian, 2001. Use of climate forecasts for water management: Arizona and the 1997-98 El Niño. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 37(5):1139-1152.