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Note: Files marked pdf require Acrobat Reader, which can be downloaded from the Adobe website. If you need these publications in an alternative format, contact climas@email.arizona.edu.
Publications
New Publications
Global Warming in the Southwest: Projections, Observations, and Impacts [April 2007; PDF, 2.88 MB]
This compilation of articles, originally published in the Southwest Climate Outlook, explores some of the impacts associated with the gains in temperature the Southwest has faced in recent decades—and is projected to continue experiencing for decades to come.
Management of Forests and Woodlands (Climate Change and Variability in the Southwest Ecosystems Series) [November 2006; PDF, 313 KB]
Rising temperatures from the ongoing global warming bring an increased risk of wildfire, drought and insect outbreaks along with changes in forest species composition. This University of Arizona Cooperative Extension fact sheet summarizes some of the recent research on this topic as well as management approaches that can be employed in southwestern forests to increase their resiliency to climate change and variability.
Arizona Water Policy: Managing Innovations in an Urbanizing, Arid Region [October 2006]
Colby, B.G. and K.L. Jacobs (eds). Washington, D.C.: RFF Press
The central challenge encountered by Arizona and many other arid regions in the world is keeping a sustainable water supply in the face of rapid population growth and other competing demands. This book highlights new approaches that Arizona has pioneered for managing its water needs.
Warming and Earlier Spring Increase Western U.S. Forest Wildfire Activity [August 2006]
Westerling, A. L., Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., and T. W. Swetnam. Science 313 (5789): 940-943
Western United States forest wildfire activity is widely thought to have increased in recent decades, yet neither the extent of recent changes nor the degree to which climate may be driving regional changes in wildfire has been systematically documented. Much of the public and scientific discussion of changes in western United States wildfire has focused instead on the effects of 19th- and 20th-century land-use history. We compiled a comprehensive database of large wildfires in western United States forests since 1970 and compared it with hydroclimatic and land-surface data. Here, we show that large wildfire activity increased suddenly and markedly in the mid-1980s, with higher large-wildfire frequency, longer wildfire durations, and longer wildfire seasons. The greatest increases occurred in mid-elevation, Northern Rockies forests, where land-use histories have relatively little effect on fire risks and are strongly associated with increased spring and summer temperatures and an earlier spring snowmelt.
Insects, Diseases, and Abiotic Disorders in Southwest Forests and Woodlands (Climate Change and Variability in Southwest Ecosystems Series) [August 2006; PDF, 1.67 MB]
In recent years, Southwestern forests have been affected by drought, bark beetles, western tent caterpillar and a variety of other animal species, both native and non-native. This University of Arizona Cooperative Extension fact sheet describes some of the interactions involved, including with climate, and suggests research questions that could improve our understanding of these complex systems.
CLIMAS Publications Database
The CLIMAS publications database allows you to search or browse through publications authored by investigators on the project.
Drought and Climate in Arizona: Top Ten Questions and Answers
Jenna McPhee, Andrew Comrie, and Gregg Garfin
March 2004Climate and Urban Water Providers in Arizona: An Analysis of Vulnerability Perceptions and Climate Information
Rebecca H. Carter and Barbara J. Morehouse
Report #CL1-03, July 2003Vulnerability to Climate Variability in the Farming Sector
Marcela Vasquez-Leon, Colin Thor West, Barbara Wolf, Jane Moody, and Timothy J. Finan
Report #CL1-02, December 2002Primer on Climatic Variability and Change in the Southwest (pdf file)
Robert Merideth. Published jointly by the Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy and Institute for the Study of Planet Earth. 2001.An Examination of Arizona Water Law and Policy from the Perspective of Climate Impacts
Rebecca H. Carter and Barbara J. Morehouse
Report #CL2-01, November 2001Fire in Indian Country: Two Case Studies in the Southwestern United States
Diane Austin & Barbara Wolf
Report #CL1-01, October 2001Building Partnerships with Native Americans in Climate-Related Research and Outreach
Diane Austin, Sherri Gerlack, and Carolyn Smith
Report #CL2-00, November 2000An Assessment of Climate Vulnerability in the Middle San Pedro River
Timothy J. Finan and Colin West (editors)
Report #CL3-00, August 2000Assessing the Sensitivity of the Southwest's Urban Water Sector to Climate Variability: Case Studies in Arizona
Rebecca H. Carter, Petra Tschakert, and Barbara J. Morehouse
Report #CL1-00, March 2000The Climate of the Southwest
Paul R. Sheppard, Andrew C. Comrie, Gregory D. Packin, Kurt Angersbach, and Malcolm K. Hughes
Report #CL1-99, December 1999Weather, Climate, and Hydrologic Forecasting for the Southwest U.S.
Holly C. Hartmann, Roger Bales, and Soroosh Sorooshian
Report #CL2-99, October 1999CLIMAS Ranching Case Study: Year 1
Julie Conley, Hallie Eakin, Thomas E. Sheridan, and Diana Hadley
Report #CL3-99, September 1999Pilot Stakeholder Assessment Report
Nicholas Benequista and Jennifer Schrag James, with the assistance of Diane Austin, Andrew Gardner, and David Prytherch. February 1999.
2006 NSAW Proceedings
This is the final report for both 2006 conferences—Western States & Alaska, convened April 4–7, 2006, in Boulder, Colorado; and Eastern, Southern, & Southwestern States, convened January 17–20 2006, in Shepherdstown, West Virginia.2005 NSAW: Western States and Alaska Proceedings
Convened March 28-April 1, 2005 in Boulder, CO2005 NSAW: Eastern and Southern States Proceedings
Convened January 19–21, 2005 in Shepherdstown, VA2004 NSAW: Western States and Alaska Proceedings
Convened March 30–April 2, 2004 in Phoenix, AZ2004 NSAW: Eastern and Southern States Proceedings
Convened January 27-29, 2004 in Shepherdstown, VA2003 NSAW: Final Report [pdf file, 1.2 MB]
Proceedings from this CLIMAS-sponsored workshop, February 25-28, 2003.2002 Fire in the West Proceedings
Convened March 5–6, 2002 in Tucson, Arizona2001 Fire & Climate Workshop Proceedings
Includes summaries from the 2001 fire-climate workshops, Fire and Climate 2001 (convened February 14-16, 2001) and Fire and Climate in the Southwest 2001 (convened March 28, 2001).The Implications of La Niña and El Niño for Fire Management (pdf file, 2.1 MB)
Proceedings from a workshop sponsored by ISPE, CLIMAS, and the Laboratory for Tree-Ring Research, February 23-24, 2000.
The CLIMAS Update featured articles on CLIMAS research projects, as well as updates on our latest activities.
May 2006, Vo. 9 No. 1 (pdf, 1MB)
This issue contains articles about recent CLIMAS research projects, information on upcoming workshops, a list of recent CLIMAS publications and student awards, and other news from the project.November 2005, Vo. 8 No. 2 (pdf, 1MB)
This issue contains articles about recent CLIMAS research projects, information on upcoming workshops, a list of recent CLIMAS publications, short bios of our new staff members, and other news from the project.April 2005, Vo. 8 No. 1 (pdf, 866K)
This issue features coverage of the CLIMAS-hosted air quality workshop and a review of the book "Braving the Currents," as well as other news from the project.October 2004, Vo. 7 No. 2-3 (pdf, 1306K)
This issue includes an article on our climate vulnerability assessment of the Upper Gila River Valley and updates on other CLIMAS research project. There is also information on recent publications by CLIMAS researchers.April 2004, Vol. 7 No. 1. Newsletter available in (pdf, 308K)
This issue features an article desribing how two CLIMAS researchers are discovering more about how climate variability effects home buying decisions made by ranchers, homebuyers, and other stakeholders. There is also a detailed update on CLIMAS activities.November 2003, Vol. 6 No. 4 (pdf, 457K)
This issue features an article on how researchers are working to improve snowpack prediction, as well as an update on CLIMAS activities.June 2003, Vol. 6 No. 2-3 (pdf, 574K)
This issue includes two articles as well as several CLIMAS updates. The first article discusses variability and trends in air quality in Southwestern cities. The second article assesses the accuracy of streamflow forecasts.February 2003, Vol. 6 No. 1 (pdf, 457K)
Includes a research report about our climate vulnerability assessment of irrigated agriculture in southeastern Arizona.October 2002, Vol. 5 No. 2 (pdf, 184K)
Includes details about our new El Niño-Drought Initiative and the revamped CLIMAS web site.May 2002, Vol. 5 No. 1 (pdf, 751K)
Includes a research report on streamflow forecasts, summary from the Fire in the West workshop, and information on a possible El Niño in 2002January 2002, Vol. 4 No. 4 (pdf, 751K)
This double issue includes a research report on Arizona's cattle industry and climate variability, information about CLIMAS product rollout and evaluation, and several news items about CLIMAS workshops and activities.July 2001, Vol. 4 No. 2 (pdf, 751K)
Includes articles on reconstructing Southwest precipitation and CLIMAS research on fire in Indian Country.April 2001, Vol. 4 No. 1 (pdf, 131K)
Includes a research report on the predicting valley fever incidence and information about our 2001 fire and climate workshops.January 2001, Vol. 3 No. 3-4 (pdf, 116K)
Includes a research update on monsoon forecasting, information about our community assessment in the Sulphur Springs Valley, a report from our forecast evaluation workshop.September 2000, Vol. 3 No. 1-2 (pdf, 125K)
Includes a research report on Southwest forecasts Assessment and information from our climate and wildfire workshop.December 1999, Vol. 2 No. 3-4 (pdf, 175K)
June 1999, Vol. 2 No. 2 (pdf, 52K)
March 1999, Vol. 2 No. 1 (pdf, 51K)
December 1998, Vol. 1 No. 2 (pdf, 44K)
August 1998, Vol. 1 No. 1 (pdf, 44K)
The Southwest Climate Outlook is a monthly publication that provides information about recent drought and climate conditions in the Southwest, along with forecasts for the coming months. In addition, each issue includes a feature article about a climate topic relevant to the Southwest.
Current issue of Southwest Climate Outlook
Archive of past issues of Southwest Climate Outlook