A. Summary
	B. Recent Conditions
	C. Forecasts
	D. Forecast Verification

Diagnosing 2007 U.S. precipitation extremes (PDF, 200KB)

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The Wildland Fire Outlook returns this month. See Figure 13 for more information.

Forecasts and Outlooks:
Southwest Climate Outlook - April 2008

Date issued: April 23, 2008

C. Forecasts

Temperature

Forecasts for the Southwest are predicting increased chances of above-average temperatures for most of the region through October 2008.

Figure 9. Temperature Outlook

Precipitation

The precipitation outlook through July 2008 indicates an enhanced probability of below-average precipitation over much of the western United States, and over the southern and central Rio Grande Valley.

Figure 10. Precipitation Outlook

Drought

Drought conditions are expected to improve across much of the Southeast U.S., while much of the Southwest and southern California will see persistent and expanding drought.

Figure 11. Seasonal Drought Outlook

Streamflow

Streamflow forecasts for most of Utah, western Colorado, and northern Arizona and New Mexico remain average to above-average for this time of year.

Figure 12. Streamflow Forecast

Fire

Above-normal fire potential is expected across precipitation-starved southern New Mexico and southeastern Arizona.

Figure 13. Wildland Fire Outlook

ENSO

La Niña conditions have weakened considerably since last month raising expectations that ENSO-neutral conditions will return by mid-summer.

Figure 14. El Niño Status and Forecasts