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2007 SWCO water year in review (PDF, 700 KB)
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Note: This work is published by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS) project and the University of Arizona Cooperative Extension; and is funded by CLIMAS, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, and the Technology and Research Initiative Fund of the University of Arizona Water Sustainability Program through the SAHRA NSF Science and Technology Center at the University of Arizona.
This packet contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, please understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. The user assumes the entire risk related to the use of this data. CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, SAHRA, and WSP disclaim any and all warranties, whether expressed or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extention, SAHRA, WSP, or The University of Arizona be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data. Read full disclaimer
Mike Crimmins, UA Extension Specialist
Stephanie Doster, ISPE Information Specialist
Gregg Garfin, ISPE Deputy Director of Outreach
Kristen Nelson, ISPE Associate Editor
Sara O’Brian, ISPE Assistant Staff Scientist
Nancy J. Selover, Arizona State Climatologist
Forecasts and Outlooks > Archive
Southwest Climate Outlook - October 2007
Date issued: October 24, 2007
A. Summary
The October 24, 2007 outlook is also available in a single, downloadable, printer-friendly file. [October 2007 PDF, 2.37 MB]
Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader. |
Drought – Short-term drought conditions have improved slightly across Arizona due to some precipitation from frontal storms in September, while conditions across northeastern New Mexico have worsened. The National Drought Monitor continues to show moderate to severe drought across much of Arizona with some expansion into New Mexico due to persistent below-average precipitation levels over the past several months.
Temperature – Temperatures were generally below-average across most of Arizona. New Mexico saw the opposite pattern, with temperatures above-average over the past thirty days.
Precipitation – Both Arizona and New Mexico observed below-average precipitation across most areas over the past thirty days. Many locations in central Arizona and central New Mexico saw precipitation amounts of less than 25 percent of average for the period.
Climate Forecasts – Seasonal climate forecasts indicate above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation in the Southwest through the fall and into the winter season. Developing La Niña conditions are responsible for the below-average precipitation forecast while long-term trends in increasing temperatures strongly influence the temperature forecast.
The Bottom Line – La Niña is the big story this month with the prospect of below-average precipitation amounts plaguing the Southwest this upcoming winter. Recent below-average precipitation amounts across Arizona and New Mexico as well as the development of new drought impacts across New Mexico may continue to expand and increase through the late fall into the winter season.
New CLIMAS program manager
As the CLIMAS program manager, Dan will be responsible for the day-to-day operations of the core office, coordination of the research team, and coordination and implementation of new and existing core office work with our stakeholder network. For more info visitthe CLIMAS website ... | This month's cover photo
A photograph of the Rio Grande. One of the top five headlines for Water Year 2007 is that the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) named the Rio Grande among the top ten rivers at risk in the world. You can read the WWF press release and link to the full report. Source: Philip Greenspun |
At the beginning of October 2007 Daniel Ferguson took over as the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS) program manager. Since 2005 Dan has been working at the Institute for the Study of Planet Earth (ISPE) as a staff social science researcher. Before coming to ISPE Dan spent four years working as a project manager at the Arctic Research Consortium of the US in Fairbanks, Alaska, where he was responsible for coordinating the science management offices for the National Science Foundation’s Arctic System Science and Human Dimensions of the Arctic System programs. 
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