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Arizona to release drought plan for public comment (PDF, 401 KB)
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Note: The Southwest Climate Outlook is published monthly by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest Project at the University of Arizona. This work is funded, in part, by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and the Technology Research Initiative Fund of the University of Arizona Water Sustainability Program.
The Southwest Climate Outlook contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. Links to outside agencies or products do not constitute endorsement. Read full disclaimer
Forecasts and Outlooks > Archive
Southwest
Climate Outlook - June 2004
Date issued: June 22, 2004
A. Summary
The June 22, 2004 outlook is also available in a single, downloadable, printer-friendly file. [June 2004 PDF, 2.9 MB]
Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader. |
Hydrological Drought – Hydrological drought continues in the Southwest.
• Arizona and New Mexico reservoirs are still at well below-average levels.
• Surface and groundwater levels are being affected by the ongoing drought: there have been increasing reports of towns in rural Arizona and New Mexico adopting water restrictions and conservation measures.
• Current storage in Lake Powell and Lake Mead is well below average and is expected to decline through the summer months.
Precipitation – Mid-May through mid-June has been drier than average across Arizona and New Mexico. This is important in eastern New Mexico, where June precipitation accounts for more than 10 percent of the annual precipitation total.
Temperature – Temperatures have been above average across most of the Southwest during the past month, consistent with long-term trends for the region.
Climate Forecasts – Seasonal forecasts indicate considerably increased probabilities of above-average temperatures across Arizona and most of New Mexico through the summer months.
El Niño – Conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean remain neutral. Forecasts do not indicate a strong likelihood for the development of either El Niño (wet Southwest winter) or La Niña (dry Southwest winter).
The Bottom Line – Hydrological drought is expected to persist in most of the Southwest for the foreseeable future.