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Note: The Southwest Climate Outlook is published monthly by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest Project at the University of Arizona. This work is funded, in part, by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and the Technology Research Initiative Fund of the University of Arizona Water Sustainability Program.

The Southwest Climate Outlook contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. Links to outside agencies or products do not constitute endorsement. Read full disclaimer

The Southwest Climate Outlook is jointly published each month by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest project and the University of Arizona Cooperative Extension.

Mike Crimmins, Extension Agent
Gregg Garfin, CLIMAS Program Manager
Shoshana Mayden, Editor
Kristen Nelson, Assistant Editor
Rick Brandt, Graduate Research Assistant
Melanie Lenart, Research Associate

 


Forecasts and Outlooks > Archive
Southwest Climate Outlook - January 2005

Date issued: January 25, 2005

A. Summary

The January 2005 outlook is also available in a single, downloadable, printer-friendly file. [January 2005 PDF, 3 MB]

front page of packet

Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Hydrological Drought – Hydrological drought continues in Arizona and much of New Mexico.

• Drought impacts have eased in northern and central Arizona and central New Mexico.

• Many reservoirs have held steady or increased slightly.

Precipitation – Wetter-than-average conditions dominated the Southwest over the past 30 days due to recent storm systems. Snowpack is also above average in many river basins in the region.

Temperature – Water year temperatures are near average in Arizona and New Mexico, while the past 30 days have generally been near- to above-average.

Climate Forecasts – Long-lead forecasts call for increased chances of warmer-than-average conditions in Arizona and western New Mexico through July. Increased chances of above-average precipitation are predicted through May.

El Niño – El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean are forecasted to continue through May, although changes in its strength are difficult to forecast.

The Bottom Line – Limited improvement in drought conditions are expected in the coming months, although reservoir levels are forecasted to remain low.

 

Southwest Snowpack

snowpack artworkThe Southwest Snowpack page has undergone several changes since the December packet. We have expanded the figure to include all of the river basins in Colorado and Utah, as well as, a few in southern Wyoming and Idaho. Snowfall in these states contributes to runoff and streamflow in the headwaters of the Colorado River. This in turn influences the water supply of Arizona and New Mexico, so we feel that it is important to show the conditions here.

The color scheme of the legend has been modified as well. The rainbow legend has been replaced with a blue and brown gradient to more clearly illustrate snowpack levels.

 

 

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