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Note: The Southwest Climate Outlook is jointly published each month by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest project and the University of Arizona Cooperative Extension.This work is funded, in part, by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and the Technology Research Initiative Fund of the University of Arizona Water Sustainability Program.
The Southwest Climate Outlook contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. Links to outside agencies or products do not constitute endorsement. Read full disclaimer
Ben Crawford, CLIMAS Research Associate
Mike Crimmins, UA Extension Agent
Stephanie Doster, ISPE Information Specialist
Gregg Garfin, CLIMAS Program Manager
Alex McCord, CLIMAS Research Associate
Kristen Nelson, ISPE Associate Editor
Melanie Lenart, CLIMAS Research Associate
Forecasts and Outlooks > Archive
Southwest Climate Outlook - December 2005
Date issued: December 20, 2005
A. Summary
Drought – Moderate drought to abnormally dry conditions have expanded into nearly all of the Southwest, except for far western Arizona
- Drought conditions are expected to intensify throughout most of the Southwest.
- Drought conditions are improved from last year, but some important reservoirs in New Mexico remain below average.
Temperature – Since the start of the water year on October 1, temperatures over most of the Southwest have been above average.
Precipitation – Almost all of the Southwest has been drier than average since the start of the water year, especially during the last 30 days or so.
Climate Forecasts – Experts predict increased chances of warmer-than-average temperatures through June of 2006, and below-average precipitation through May of 2006.
El Niño – ENSO-neutral or mild La Niña conditions are expected to exist over the next six to nine months.
The Bottom Line – Drought is like to persist or intensify over most of the Southwest except for far western Arizona. Hydrological drought continues to affect some large reservoir levels in the region, and agricultural drought conditions have developed in eastern New Mexico.
Let it snow!
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