Subscribe: Please visit the mailing list page to subscribe to the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Outlook.

Note: While not an official forecast, the Southwest Climate Outlook reflects both the official CPC prediction, and a reasonable assessment of the implications of the outlook for our region.

Most Recent: Please visit the main Southwest Climate Outlook page to get the latest forecast information.

2008

August 2008 [August 26, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through February 2009 and a feature article entitled, "Phenology, citizen science, and Dave Bertelsen"

July 2008 [July 22, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through January 2009 and a feature article entitled, "Understanding the southwestern monsoon"

June 2008 [June 27, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through December and a feature article entitled, "The wet winter and the basins' bathtubs"

May 2008 [May 20, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through November and a feature article entitled, "Anticipating summer heat"

April 2008 [April 23, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through October and a feature article entitled, "Diagnosing 2007 U.S. precipitation extremes"

March 2008 [March 26, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through September and a feature article entitled, "A shift toward aridity"

February 2008 [February 27, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through August and a feature article entitled, "New streamflow forecasts for expert users"

January 2008 [January 24, 2008]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through July and a feature article entitled, "Forecast Verification: Past, Present, and Future"

2007

December 2007 [December 21, 2007]
Due to The University of Arizona holiday closure, the full version of the Southwest Climate Outlook was not produced in December. The archived file includes updated reservoir information, and November 2007 information.

November 2007 [November 21, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through May and a feature article entitled, "Roundtable discussion on La Niña episode"

October 2007 [October 24, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through April and the "2007 SWCO water year in review"

September 2007 [September 27, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through March and a feature article entitled, "Cooling systems affect resources, climate, and health"

August 2007 [August 30,2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through February and a feature article entitled, "Fall conference roundup"

July 2007 [July 25,2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through January and a feature article entitled, "New divisions for monitoring and predicting climate"

June 2007 [June 27, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through December and a feature article entitled, "Arizona drought coming back into focus"

May 2007 [May 23, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through November and a feature article entitled, "How tree rings can help reconstruct streamflow"

April 2007 [April 24, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through October and a feature article entitled, "Global warming in the Southwest: An overview."

March 2007 [March 20, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through September and a feature article entitled, "Global warming determined to be 'unequivocal'."

February 2007 [February 21, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through August and a feature article entitled, "Everybody counts when reigning in global warming."

January 2007 [January 23, 2007]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through July and a feature article entitled, "Global warming inspires a look at solar, wind energy."

2006

December 2006 [December 20, 2006]
Due to The University of Arizona holiday closure, the full version of the Southwest Climate Outlook was not produced in December. The archived file includes updated reservoir information, and November 2006 information.

November 2006 [November 21, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through May 2007 and a feature article discussing how global warming can affect the Southwest's groundwater.

October 2006 [October 24, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through April 2007 and the 2006 Southwest Climate Outlook Water Year in Review offers a summary of the information presented in each month's outlook.

September 2006 [September 27, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through March 2007 and a feature article that discusses Arizona water supply.

August 2006 [August 23, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through February 2007 and two feature articles entitled, "NWS new local three-month temperature outlook" and "East Pacific hurricanes bring rain to Southwest."

July 2006 [July 26, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through January 2007 and a feature article entitled, "Monsoon impact on society: the good and the bad."

June 2006 [June 21, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through December 2006 and a feature article entitled, "Hurricane intensity rises with sea surface temps."

May 2006 [May 24, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through November 2006 and two feature articles entitled, "Southwest drought can pack a hefty punch," and "Putting the AZ drought plan into action."

April 2006 [April 26, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through October 2006 and a feature article entitled "Rising temperatures bump up risk of wildfires."

March 2006 [March 21, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through September 2006 and a feature article entitled "Experts discuss early start to Southwest fire season."

February 2006 [February 20, 2006]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through August 2006 and a feature article entitled "Grassland dynamics shift with climate fluctuations."

January 2006 [January 24, 2006]
Included the seasonal outlooks through July 2006 and a feature article entitled "El Niño: a wild card for climate change impacts."

2005

December 2005 [December 20, 2005]
Included the seasonal outlooks through June 2006 and a feature article entitled "Climate experts discuss winter and spring forecasts"

November 2005 [November 29, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through May 2006 and a feature article entitled "How to use the climate Forecast Evaluation Tool"

October 2005 [October 27, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through April 2006 and the "2005 SWCO Water Year in Review."

September 2005 [September 20, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through March 2006 and a feature article entitled "Nature’s clock ringing in earlier springs"

August 2005 [August 23, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through February 2006 and a feature article entitled "Water, energy, and climate linked in complex ways"

July 2005 [July 26, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through January 2006 and a feature article entitled "Inquiry into monsoon and global warming continues"

June 2005 [June 21, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through December 2005 and a feature article entitled "Monsoon could strengthen as climate warms"

May 2005 [May 24, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through November 2005 and a feature article that discusses a May workshop where water managers and scientists met in Tucson to discuss how looking at the past may help inform future water planning efforts.

April 2005 [April 26, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through October 2005 and a feature article that discusses the 2005 southwest fire season.

March 2005 [March 22, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through September 2005 and a feature article that discusses how recent precipitation is effecting the Southwest drought.

February 2005 [February 22, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through August 2005 and a feature article that discusses a Sedona workshop in mid-February that drew forest managers and scientists together for an exchange of views on climate variability and change.

January 2005 [January 25, 2005]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through July 2005 and a feature article that discussed how biologists are bringing water to Sonoran pronghorn habitats.

2004

December 2004 [December 21, 2004]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through June 2005 and a feature article entitled "The future Colorado River: Will it deliver?"

November 2004 [November 23, 2004]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through May 2005 and a focus page on the USBR Lower Colorado Region website. This month's feature article describes discussions between seven states due to low flow in the Colorado River basin.

October 2004 [October 26, 2004]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through April 2005 and focus pages on the Tucson NWS Southeastern Arizona Drought Monitoring and the USBR Upper Colorado Region websites. This month there are two articles entitled, "Plan to thin trees in Apache-Sitgreaves forest could increase streamflow in short term" and "Salt Cedar: Villain or Scapegoat when it comes to water use?"

September 2004 [September 21, 2004]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through March 2005, a roundtable discussion on the drought in the Southwest, and additional information on the El Niño Signal in the Upper Colorado River Basin.

August 2004 [August 24, 2004]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through February 2005, a feature article the North American Monsoon Experiment, and additional information on monsoon forecasting.

July 2004 [July 20, 2004]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through January 2005, a feature article the North American Monsoon Experiment, and additional information on monsoon forecasting.

June 2004 [June 22, 2004]
Includes the seasonal outlooks through December 2004, a feature article regarding Arizona's drought plan, and additional information on the National Weather Service’s Arizona Drought Data website.

May 2004 [May 25, 2004]
Includes seasonal outlooks through November 2004 and a feature article about the effects of beetle attacks on southwestern forest during the drought.

April 2004 [April 22, 2004]
Includes seasonal outlooks through October 2004 and a feature article about the 2004 fire season.

March 2004 [March 26, 2004]
Includes the April 2004 forecast and seasonal outlooks through September 2004, with additional information about Rangeview and AZMET products.

February 2004 [February 26, 2004]
Includes the March 2004 forecast and seasonal outlooks through August 2004, with additional information on PDSI products from National Agricultural Decision Support System.

January 2004 [January 27, 2004]
Includes the February 2004 forecast and seasonal outlooks through July 2004, with additional information on SPI products from National Agricultural Decision Support System.

2003

December 2003 [December 22, 2003]
Includes the January 2004 forecast and seasonal outlooks through June 2004, with additional information about climate reconstructions for the Southwest.

November 2003 [November 26, 2003]
Includes the December 2003 forecast and seasonal outlooks through May 2004.

October 2003 [October 26, 2003]
Includes the November 2003 forecast and seasonal outlooks through April 2004, with additional information on forecast verification.

September 2003 [September 26, 2003]
Includes the October 2003 forecast and seasonal outlooks through March 2004, with additional information about the National Climatic Data Center's Statewide/Regional Moisture Status Product.

August 2003 [August 25, 2003]
Includes the September 2003 forecast and seasonal outlooks through February 2004.

July 2003 [July 25, 2003]
Includes the August 2003 forecast and seasonal outlooks through January 2004.

June 2003 [June 27, 2003]
Includes the July 2003 forecast, seasonal outlooks through January 2004, and additional information about La Niña, the North American Monsoon, and experimental drought blend maps.

May 2003 [May 23, 2003]
Includes the June 2003 forecast, seasonal outlooks through December 2003, and additional information about the paleoclimate record of ENSO and flooding following wildfires.

April 2003 [April 24, 2003]
Includes the May 2003 forecast, seasonal outlooks through November 2003, and additional information about wildfire forecasts and pine mortality in the Southwest.

March 2003 [March 26, 2003]
Includes the April 2003 forecast, seasonal outlooks through October 2003, and additional information about experimental drought monitor and SPI maps, remote sensing drought products, and a preliminary 2003 fire outlook.

February 2003 [February 26, 2003]
Includes the March 2003 forecast, season outlooks through September 2003, and additional information about earlier springs, global ENSO, and paleo drought.

January 2003 [January 27, 2003]
Includes the February 2003 forecast, seasonal outlooks through August 2003, and additional information about experimental forecasts and heating degree days.

2002

December 2002 [December 23, 2002]
Includes the January 2003 forecast, seasonal outlooks through July 2003, and additional information about SPI values and measuring snow in the Southwest.

November 2002 [November 27, 2002]
Includes the December 2002 forecast, season outlooks through June 2003, and background on the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) and measuring snow in the Southwest.

October 2002 [October 23, 2002]
Includes the November 2002 forecast, seasonal outlooks through May 2003, and background materials on drought indices and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).

September 2002 [September 27, 2002]
Includes the October 2002 forecast, seasonal outlooks through May 2003, and background materials on summer rains, floods, and interpreting climate forecasts.

August 2002 [August 21, 2002]
Includes the September 2002 forecast, seasonal outlooks through March 2003, and background materials on El Niño and tropical storms.

July 2002 [July 22, 2002]
Includes the August 2002 forecast, seasonal outlooks through March 2003, and background materials on drought and El Niño.

Spring-Summer 2002 [May 6, 2002]
Includes the May 2002 forecast and discusses the longer range outlook through December 2002

Early Spring 2002 [February 21, 2002]
Includes the March 2002 forecast and discusses the longer range outlook through December 2002

2001 & 2000

For older versions of the End InSight informational packets produced in 2001 or 2000, please send an email to climas@email.arizona.edu.