Climate change mitigation is complex and controversial; public policy education on costs and benefits can further inform agricultural producers and decision-makers. This project analyzes impacts of mitigation policies and assesses how they might affect agricultural production and income in AZ and NM, with a special focus on the high value fruit, vegetable, and nut crops important to Southwest agriculture. We will assess impacts on input costs, output prices and potential revenue from sale of agricultural carbon offsets, and quantify how allowances for energy intensive, trade exposed industries can significantly reduce agricultural costs. We will use representative farm analyses, which allow growers to estimate implications for their own operations.
This project is part of the US Climate National Assessment (Assessment) coordinated by the US Global Climate Research Program.
The Assessment’s purpose is to synthesize, evaluate, and report on what we presently know about the potential consequences of climate variability and change for the US in the 21st century. It has sought to identify key climatic vulnerabilities of particular regions and sectors, in the context of other changes in the nation’s environment, resources, and economy. It has also sought to identify potential measures to adapt to climate variability and change. Finally, because present knowledge is limited, the Assessment has sought to identify the highest priority uncertainties about which we must know more to understand climate impacts, vulnerabilities, and our ability to adapt.
This project is part of a more comprehensive assessment led by CLIMAS that includes: “Knowledge Exchange and Needs Assessment on Adaptation to Climate Change in the Colorado River”, “Assessing Regional Climate Service Through Cooperative Extension”, and “Poverty and Climate Change in the Southwestern U.S.”.
These projects seeks to build upon CLIMAS’s well established network of stakeholders and collaborators to: 1) broaden the scope of our existing work into new domains (e.g., urban poor populations), emerging challenges (e.g., impact of mitigation policies on agriculture in the Southwest), and underrepresented parts of our region (e.g., the Rio Grande river basin); 2) make critical linkages amongst ongoing adaptation efforts across the region, and 3) expand the reach of CLIMAS’s network (e.g., by directly engaging the Cooperative Extension service on climate adaptation needs and capacity). Collectively, these projects will contribute tangible inputs to the US National Climate Assessment effort (e.g., new analyses of climate vulnerabilities and implications of mitigation policies, catalogs of ongoing and planned regional adaptation and mitigation efforts, and locally focused understanding of adaptation and mitigation needs and capacity). In addition to these product-based inputs, these projects will also help develop critical knowledge network infrastructure in support of the explicit desire for this National Climate Assessment effort to build a robust and enduring process.